OpenSAFELY: Do adults prescribed non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs have an increased risk of death from COVID-19?
The OpenSAFELY Collaborative None., Wong AYS., MacKenna B., Morton C., Schultze A., Walker A., Bhaskaran K., Brown J., Rentsch C., Williamson E., Drysdale H., Croker R., Bacon S., Hulme W., Bates C., Curtis H., Mehrkar A., Evans D., Inglesby P., Cockburn J., McDonald H., Tomlinson L., Mathur R., Wing K., Forbes H., Parry J., Hester F., Harper S., Evans SJW., Smeeth L., Douglas I., Goldacre B.
Importance There has been speculation that non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) may negatively affect coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes, yet clinical evidence is limited. Objective To assess the association between NSAID use and deaths from COVID-19 using OpenSAFELY, a secure analytical platform. Design Two cohort studies (1 st March-14 th June 2020). Setting Working on behalf of NHS England, we used routine clinical data from >17 million patients in England linked to death data from the Office for National Statistics. Participants Study 1: General population (people with an NSAID prescription in the last three years). Study 2: people with rheumatoid arthritis/osteoarthritis. Exposures Current NSAID prescription within the 4 months before 1 st March 2020. Main Outcome and Measure We used Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for COVID-19 related death in people currently prescribed NSAIDs, compared with those not currently prescribed NSAIDs, adjusting for age, sex, comorbidities and other medications. Results In Study 1, we included 535,519 current NSAID users and 1,924,095 non-users in the general population. The crude HR for current use was 1.25 (95% CI, 1.07–1.46), versus non-use. We observed no evidence of difference in risk of COVID-19 related death associated with current use (HR, 0.95, 95% CI, 0.80–1.13) in the fully adjusted model. In Study 2, we included 1,711,052 people with rheumatoid arthritis/osteoarthritis, of whom 175,631 (10%) were current NSAID users. The crude HR for current use was 0.43 (95% CI, 0.36–0.52), versus non-use. In the fully adjusted model, we observed a lower risk of COVID-19 related death (HR, 0.78, 95% CI, 0.65–0.94) associated with current use of NSAID versus non-use. Conclusion and Relevance We found no evidence of a harmful effect of NSAIDs on COVID-19 related deaths. Risks of COVID-19 do not need to influence decisions about therapeutic use of NSAIDs.