Andrea Roalfe

BSc (Hons), MSc

Senior Researcher in Medical Statistics

Cardiovascular research

I joined the department in September 2017 as Senior Researcher in Medical Statistics. I am an applied statistician with extensive experience in medical statistics, epidemiology and clinical trials. My main area of interest is cardiovascular disease research, focusing on heart failure epidemiology and risk prediction modelling. I lead the statistical function of a range of studies within the Cardiovascular Research Group (ECHOES, ECHOES-X, BAFTA, SAFE, REFER).

Key publications

Development and initial validation of a simple clinical decision tool to predict the presence of heart failure in primary care: The MICE (Male, Infarction, Crepitations, Edema, MICE) rule
Journal article

Holder R. et al, (2012), European Journal of Heart Failure, 14, 1000 - 1008
Primary care REFerral for EchocaRdiogram (REFER) in heart failure: A diagnostic accuracy study
Journal article

(2017), British Journal of General Practice, 67, e94 - e102
Observational longitudinal cohort study to determine progression to heart failure in a screened community population: The Echocardiographic Heart of England Screening Extension (ECHOES-X) study
Journal article

(2014), BMJ Open, 4
A cross-sectional study of quality of life in an elderly population (75 years and over) with atrial fibrillation: Secondary analysis of data from the Birmingham Atrial Fibrillation Treatment of the Aged study
Journal article

Lip GYH. et al, (2012), Europace, 14, 1420 - 1427
Performance of stroke risk scores in older people with atrial fibrillation not taking warfarin: Comparative cohort study from BAFTA trial
Journal article

Fitzmaurice DA. and Mant J., (2011), BMJ, 343

Recent publications

Survival of patients with chronic heart failure in the community: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
Journal article

Jones NR. et al, (2019), Eur J Heart Fail
Estimated stroke risk, yield, and number needed to screen for atrial fibrillation detected through single time screening: a multicountry patient-level meta-analysis of 141,220 screened individuals.
Journal article

Lowres N. et al, (2019), PLoS Med, 16
SURVIVAL WITH VALVULAR HEART DISEASE (OXVALVE-SURVIVE)
Conference paper

Myerson S. et al, (2019), HEART, 105, A102 - A102
A brief behavioural intervention to promote regular self-weighing to prevent weight regain after weight loss: a RCT
Journal article

Daley A. et al, (2019), Public Health Research, 7, 1 - 66
Trends in survival after a diagnosis of heart failure in the United Kingdom 2000-2017: population based cohort study
Journal article

Taylor CJ. et al, (2019), BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 364

More publications