Andrea Roalfe

BSc (Hons), MSc

Senior Researcher in Medical Statistics

Cardiovascular research

I joined the department in September 2017 as Senior Researcher in Medical Statistics. Prior to this I was Head of Statistics at the Primary Care Clinical Research and Trials Unit at the University of Birmingham.

I am an applied statistician with extensive experience in medical statistics, epidemiology and clinical trials. My main area of interest is cardiovascular disease research, focusing on heart failure epidemiology and risk prediction modelling. I lead the statistical function within the Heart Failure Research Group.

Key publications

Development and initial validation of a simple clinical decision tool to predict the presence of heart failure in primary care: The MICE (Male, Infarction, Crepitations, Edema, MICE) rule
Journal article

Roalfe AK. et al, (2012), European Journal of Heart Failure, 14, 1000 - 1008
Primary care REFerral for EchocaRdiogram (REFER) in heart failure: A diagnostic accuracy study
Journal article

Taylor CJ. et al, (2017), British Journal of General Practice, 67, e94 - e102
Observational longitudinal cohort study to determine progression to heart failure in a screened community population: The Echocardiographic Heart of England Screening Extension (ECHOES-X) study
Journal article

Taylor CJ. et al, (2014), BMJ Open, 4
A cross-sectional study of quality of life in an elderly population (75 years and over) with atrial fibrillation: Secondary analysis of data from the Birmingham Atrial Fibrillation Treatment of the Aged study
Journal article

Roalfe AK. et al, (2012), Europace, 14, 1420 - 1427
Performance of stroke risk scores in older people with atrial fibrillation not taking warfarin: Comparative cohort study from BAFTA trial
Journal article

Hobbs FDR. et al, (2011), BMJ, 343

Recent publications

Prevention and treatment of venous thromboembolism in hospital and the community: a research programme including the ExACT RCT
Journal article

Fitzmaurice D. et al, (2020), Programme Grants for Applied Research, 8, 1 - 104
A randomised controlled trial of extended anticoagulation treatment versus standard treatment for the prevention of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) and post-thrombotic syndrome in patients being treated for a first episode of unprovoked VTE (the ExACT study)
Journal article

Bradbury C. et al, (2020), British Journal of Haematology, 188, 962 - 975
Survival rates in elderly patients with heart failure: reply
Journal article

Jones NR. et al, (2020), European Journal of Heart Failure
Effectiveness of a behavioural intervention involving regular weighing and feedback by community midwives within routine antenatal care to prevent excessive gestational weight gain: POPS2 randomised controlled trial
Journal article

Daley A. et al, (2019), BMJ Open, 9
Estimated stroke risk, yield, and number needed to screen for atrial fibrillation detected through single time screening: a multicountry patient-level meta-analysis of 141,220 screened individuals
Journal article

Lowres N. et al, (2019), PLoS medicine, 16

More publications