Andrea Roalfe

BSc (Hons), MSc

Senior Researcher in Medical Statistics

Cardiovascular research

I joined the department in September 2017 as Senior Researcher in Medical Statistics. I am an applied statistician with extensive experience in medical statistics, epidemiology and clinical trials. My main area of interest is cardiovascular disease research, focusing on heart failure epidemiology and risk prediction modelling. I lead the statistical function of a range of studies within the Cardiovascular Research Group (ECHOES, ECHOES-X, BAFTA, SAFE, REFER).

Key publications

Development and initial validation of a simple clinical decision tool to predict the presence of heart failure in primary care: The MICE (Male, Infarction, Crepitations, Edema, MICE) rule
Journal article

Roalfe AK. et al, (2012), European Journal of Heart Failure, 14, 1000 - 1008
Primary care REFerral for EchocaRdiogram (REFER) in heart failure: A diagnostic accuracy study
Journal article

Taylor CJ. et al, (2017), British Journal of General Practice, 67, e94 - e102
Observational longitudinal cohort study to determine progression to heart failure in a screened community population: The Echocardiographic Heart of England Screening Extension (ECHOES-X) study
Journal article

Taylor CJ. et al, (2014), BMJ Open, 4
A cross-sectional study of quality of life in an elderly population (75 years and over) with atrial fibrillation: Secondary analysis of data from the Birmingham Atrial Fibrillation Treatment of the Aged study
Journal article

Roalfe AK. et al, (2012), Europace, 14, 1420 - 1427
Performance of stroke risk scores in older people with atrial fibrillation not taking warfarin: Comparative cohort study from BAFTA trial
Journal article

Hobbs FDR. et al, (2011), BMJ, 343

Recent publications

What factors influence weight loss in participants of commercial weight loss programmes? Implications for health policy
Journal article

Madigan CD. et al, (2017), Obesity Research and Clinical Practice, 11, 709 - 717
Cost-effectiveness analysis of use of a polypill versus usual care or best practice for primary prevention in people at high risk of cardiovascular disease
Journal article

Jowett S. et al, (2017), PLoS ONE, 12
Aerobic exercise for vasomotor menopausal symptoms: A cost-utility analysis based on the Active Women trial
Journal article

Goranitis I. et al, (2017), PLoS ONE, 12
MICE or NICE? An economic evaluation of clinical decision rules in the diagnosis of heart failure in primary care
Journal article

Monahan M. et al, (2017), International Journal of Cardiology, 241, 255 - 261
Are babies conceived during Ramadan born smaller and sooner than babies conceived at other times of the year? A Born in Bradford Cohort Study
Journal article

Daley A. et al, (2017), Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 71, 722 - 728

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