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© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016. This chapter outlines the main uses and challenges of modelling in public health. Individual model methods are discussed alongside examples of their use. This will help you to interpret public health models and to be aware of some of their main assumptions, thereby allowing you to use models more appropriately in your day-to-day work. After reading this chapter, you will be able to: • Know when it is and is not appropriate to use modelling in public health. • Be confident when using model outcomes in your day-to-day work. • Be able to explain the common modelling methods to colleagues. • Understand different modelling methods and their main strengths and limitations.

Original publication





Book title

Public Health Intelligence: Issues of Measure and Method

Publication Date



67 - 90